Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc391e7057bb1cd8b80e044ae9749810fcf27872f0521ad73fe280fcfb05710f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 27c | 446$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 73c | 359.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 72c | 291.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 30c | 208.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 11c | 174.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 78c | 143$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 74c | 135.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 25c | 86.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 68c | 69.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 62.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 74c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…0886backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 68c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 68c | 18.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 69c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsthis page
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 144.5Under won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.