Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a540c94613eb92ac451fdfc15bcaf5582dbcdae0e659ffe1c85c882062aac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 76c | 6,470$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 24c | 3,662$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.72 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 2,402$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 26c | 1,031$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.76 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 28c | 892.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 881.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 845.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 10c | 762.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 25c | 666.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 72c | 540.02$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 24c | 374.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 358.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 76c | 290.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 75c | 285.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 25c | 235.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 25c | 211.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 25c | 185$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 176$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 25c | 165.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 149.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 74c | 145.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 26c | 131.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed Yes | 75c | 126.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 25c | 118.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 103.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 74c | 102.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 99.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 90.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 26c | 89.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 26c | 85.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 26c | 85.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 24c | 80.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 25c | 75.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 73c | 70.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 26c | 68.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 26c | 67.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 26c | 61.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 24c | 56.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Yes | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 26c | 43.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 26c | 43.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 26c | 40.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 26c | 38.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 75c | 29.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 77c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will AZ vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.