Euroleague · resolved market
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3fb1f4fbaed083f3d053c2b0f9f9dcd1f5f48f25804a7d1b0eebf1131632455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nanjing Monkey Kingof Nanjing Monkey King, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Nanjing Monkey King | 32c | 1,362$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.47 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nanjing Monkey King | 33c | 919.1$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.99 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Shenzhen Leopards | 67c | 888.24$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 67c | 725.53$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 68c | 325$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 149.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 121.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 68c | 106$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nanjing Monkey King | 31c | 81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 56c | 73.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 39.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nanjing Monkey King | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.