Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs FURIA Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc403f64bd2afb58623274a9872889bbac74bd1d90bd045d32960f2140ab45cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2GAME Esportsof 2GAME Esports, FURIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Academy | 32c | 439.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed FURIA Academy | 16c | 360.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed FURIA Academy | 11c | 193.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed 2GAME Esports | 68c | 182$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 2GAME Esports | 64c | 166.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA Academy | 34c | 148.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…7130backed 2GAME Esports | 68c | 145.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed 2GAME Esports | 67c | 133.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 2GAME Esports | 64c | 125.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked 2GAME Esports | 75c | 87.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FURIA Academy | 28c | 84.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FURIA Academy | 16c | 79.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed 2GAME Esports | 65c | 51.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked FURIA Academy | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 2GAME Esports | 59c | 23.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked 2GAME Esports | 68c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked 2GAME Esports | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.