Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc445297d47d2e5d5f0d3bba2b25de83f2b52613cf71608a19e28963cc3ac9d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 1,639$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 47c | 1,423$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.5 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 1,067$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.64 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 813.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 788.34$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 77c | 701$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 676$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.22 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 595.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 436.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 387.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 62c | 133.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 57c | 76.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 77c | 55.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 41c | 51.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 23c | 49.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 48c | 44.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 66c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík end in a draw?this page
- Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.