Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599f4cca7a75cb1010da757b5415b926d03157ec3acf6a44e909336f5f772c9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,503$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 62c | 2,435$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,750$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.94 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 1,387$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.69 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.76 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 27c | 1,366$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.78 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 572.88$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 44c | 525.41$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.25 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 43c | 510$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 501.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.13 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 63c | 393.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 62c | 321.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 42c | 280$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 42c | 275.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 43c | 260.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 37c | 202.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 200.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 42c | 185.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 137.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 65c | 122.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 122.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 39c | 115.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 59c | 113.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 64c | 96.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 71c | 93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No | 34c | 74.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 41c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 61c | 63.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 58c | 58.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 53.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 61c | 53.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 40c | 50.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 29c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 35.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 34.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 39c | 29.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 28.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 58c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 21.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC vs. NSÍ Runavík end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.