Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA vs. Northwestern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc454809c3f38c07c026e408b6681b4257df18824138cf6765af4e1e5f6197d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLAof UCLA, Northwestern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed UCLA | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Northwestern | 34c | 394.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…9e70backed Northwestern | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Northwestern | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UCLA | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Northwestern | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed UCLA | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…d532backed UCLA | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc21…90ddbacked Northwestern | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…3a14backed Northwestern | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…5c34backed Northwestern | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…2373backed Northwestern | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…b1bdbacked Northwestern | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…00f0backed Northwestern | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Northwestern | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…f583backed UCLA | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ad…25a3backed Northwestern | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…d647backed Northwestern | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…49cbbacked Northwestern | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…4b37backed UCLA | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Northwestern | 48c | 34.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…91fdbacked Northwestern | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…225fbacked UCLA | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…1393backed UCLA | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…c783backed UCLA | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc61…30babacked UCLA | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…34b5backed UCLA | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…3a3bbacked UCLA | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…567abacked Northwestern | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb158…3a46backed UCLA | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…7256backed Northwestern | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…71babacked UCLA | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…22e7backed UCLA | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…738dbacked Northwestern | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…273cbacked Northwestern | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…3fabbacked Northwestern | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…754fbacked UCLA | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…4579backed UCLA | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…6df9backed UCLA | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…3113backed UCLA | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…b78bbacked UCLA | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…f07abacked UCLA | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…bc4cbacked Northwestern | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…d0ffbacked UCLA | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…f4bebacked UCLA | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…35cebacked UCLA | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…82f2backed UCLA | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9c…5b79backed Northwestern | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…58cbbacked UCLA | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…6acabacked UCLA | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…1790backed UCLA | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked UCLA | 59c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…b4c0backed UCLA | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…ad82backed Northwestern | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…4209backed Northwestern | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…4333backed UCLA | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…bc4dbacked UCLA | 60c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…f326backed Northwestern | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.