CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4961b2bb4248f253d58c24e5e93225bcb797a0e708dec563caddfd5ea80e399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Galorys | 52c | 2,311$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.62 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 2,120$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.79 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 1,438$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.89 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Galorys | 44c | 1,205$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.35 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Galorys | 52c | 322.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 53c | 320.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Galorys | 53c | 296.2$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 287.9$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 285.92$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 23c | 247.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 208.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 197.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys | 51c | 175.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Galorys | 23c | 141.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galorys | 30c | 134.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 133.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Galorys | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Galorys | 22c | 89.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 80.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Galorys | 55c | 58.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 52.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Galorys | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Galorys | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galorys | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Galorys | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 27.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.