CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs playersclub (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4dc151cba03f5d335819ad88a16adab9118b73f7a63251da011912367260573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- playersclubof ex-RUBY, playersclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked playersclub | 51c | 5,689$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked playersclub | 47c | 2,695$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 2,290$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.49 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,411$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,057$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.78 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 677.93$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.58 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ex-RUBY | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 486.37$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 449.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked playersclub | 48c | 417.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed ex-RUBY | 6c | 406$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked playersclub | 47c | 238.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 169.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 140.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked playersclub | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed playersclub | 25c | 88.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked ex-RUBY | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed playersclub | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 25.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 15.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs playersclub (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs playersclub - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs playersclub (+1.5)playersclub won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.