Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ed1a6f9a0d454f4d651e944c3390b59ead770c1851a0ec76b4ecd27ca18d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof LSU Tigers, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 4,050$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 3,210$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…f5b2backed LSU Tigers | 7c | 2,276$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked LSU Tigers | 8c | 2,125$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LSU Tigers | 10c | 1,400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…0cbfbacked LSU Tigers | 11c | 1,278$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed LSU Tigers | 13c | 1,200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked LSU Tigers | 10c | 997.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…92f5backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 865$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…8dfbbacked LSU Tigers | 11c | 816$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0785backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 775$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 773$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…d593backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 763$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…f4c4backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 648$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked LSU Tigers | 9c | 599.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LSU Tigers | 7c | 466.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed LSU Tigers | 4c | 430$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 284.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 257.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 255.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 212.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked LSU Tigers | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 170.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 154$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed LSU Tigers | 10c | 118.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed LSU Tigers | 10c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed LSU Tigers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…7830backed LSU Tigers | 16c | 75.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsthis page
- LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-14.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-15.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.