Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf67eb5cb78fe9b580ecf971705a017322ec701de5172259f1c1a2a04ce1f75d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 46c | 5,508$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.23 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Gators | 54c | 4,156$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.49 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU Tigers | 48c | 4,038$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 3,746$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Florida Gators | 54c | 1,001$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.26 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Florida Gators | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Florida Gators | 54c | 753.03$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LSU Tigers | 46c | 541.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked LSU Tigers | 45c | 410.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked LSU Tigers | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Florida Gators | 56c | 179.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Florida Gators | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed LSU Tigers | 48c | 104.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 57c | 86.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida Gators | 46c | 65.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed LSU Tigers | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 50.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LSU Tigers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Florida Gators | 54c | 49.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed LSU Tigers | 78c | 46.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida Gators | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 25.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Florida Gators | 53c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-14.5)this page
- LSU Tigers vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
- LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-15.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.