CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52aa414115ad9cefe4c65cfaa37c6cafd51dc4e43d249128a3ef7f6496eef23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof INFURITY Gaming, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked INFURITY Gaming | 50c | 566.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed INFURITY Gaming | 51c | 341.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 328.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 328.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 313.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked INFURITY Gaming | 43c | 304.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 290.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed INFURITY Gaming | 8c | 203$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed INFURITY Gaming | 29c | 172.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 121.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed INFURITY Gaming | 31c | 97.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked INFURITY Gaming | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked INFURITY Gaming | 32c | 88.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked INFURITY Gaming | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 73.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed INFURITY Gaming | 18c | 57.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 51.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked INFURITY Gaming | 29c | 49.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 46.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked INFURITY Gaming | 26c | 45.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked INFURITY Gaming | 38c | 31.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked INFURITY Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed INFURITY Gaming | 49c | 28.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed ex-MANA eSports | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.