TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mississippi State Bulldogsof Mississippi State Bulldogs, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b4…34a8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs58c4,982$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.5335452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets42c2,851$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets44c2,571$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.0155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e0…f075backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets13c2,288$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs54c2,076$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.81,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets40c1,133$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.232337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State Bulldogs56c936.33$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.992,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets10c750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs78c574.66$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets51c461.8$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.843,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets41c276.39$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets41c229.67$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1652928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets41c225$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.252,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets45c221.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets28c210$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets41c165$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.655944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets39c155.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.131,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mississippi State Bulldogs60c148.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.367626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs61c130.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.894,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb709…05c9backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets11c115$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-75.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.764322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Mississippi State Bulldogs60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets43c53.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.182,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.854240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0965825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs59c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.293,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Mississippi State Bulldogs55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.553852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.