Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56d4d02413c2fe86397231834cffb19bd2e3626a6e27836fee4bc3f810be91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 52c | 23,807$12,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,384.81 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 15,873$10,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 14,322$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,943.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 6,565$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.55 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 46c | 5,038$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.31 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 47c | 3,341$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.2 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 47c | 2,095$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 69c | 1,138$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.69 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 70c | 1,122$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.64 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 45c | 542.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 69c | 448.03$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 46c | 420.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 44c | 412.96$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 70c | 403.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 55c | 326.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 326.6$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 291.63$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 27c | 279.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 46c | 246.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 72c | 225.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 69c | 213.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 77c | 212.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 69c | 212.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 65c | 189.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 172.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 128.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 22c | 126.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 121.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 55c | 97.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 48c | 92.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 47c | 83.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 46c | 83.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 57c | 78.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 57c | 69.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 54c | 63.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 27c | 62.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 45c | 50.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 37.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 31.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 55c | 27.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Under | 79c | 22.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54a…df26backed Under | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…c36ebacked Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: CD Tondela (-2.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.