Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c7487b144c61c9d439605ca680075bac254e96ef895d923920acc5f132185c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,570$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 47c | 1,138$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 861.86$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 47c | 626.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 547.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 545.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 13c | 291.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 208.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 44c | 179.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 45c | 177.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 96.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 52c | 77.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 64.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 58.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Under | 56c | 50.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 71c | 40.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…6a44backed Over | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 52c | 31.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 25.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Under | 48c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: CD Tondela (-2.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.