Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Canada vs Nepal (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc575d908a71841091b13678b9bc9a9b17caca1300370232ce09b7e9650270ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Canada, Nepal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Canada | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Canada | 11c | 1,237$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Canada | 20c | 1,039$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Canada | 19c | 821.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Nepal | 79c | 532.04$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Nepal | 80c | 249.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Canada | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Canada | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6a40backed Nepal | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Canada | 14c | 164.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Nepal | 47c | 148.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…d501backed Canada | 60c | 111.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Canada | 12c | 91.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Nepal | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Nepal | 77c | 78.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Canada | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Canada | 23c | 62.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed Nepal | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nepal | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Canada | 32c | 47.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Canada | 42c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…cd20backed Canada | 27c | 41.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Canada | 37c | 33.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Nepal | 61c | 26.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Canada | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Canada | 80c | 17.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- International T20 Series: Canada vs Nepal (Game 1)this page
- International T20 Series: Canada vs Nepal (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.