NHL · resolved market
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Charlotte Checkers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc583c6c738be40310f69cf49ccce87f1f44f577b9b949368b479e6b878b623f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte Checkersof Hershey Bears, Charlotte Checkers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Charlotte Checkers | 56c | 4,276$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.37 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hershey Bears | 43c | 1,539$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.02 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Hershey Bears | 46c | 668$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Hershey Bears | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hershey Bears | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hershey Bears | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Hershey Bears | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hershey Bears | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hershey Bears | 45c | 137.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Hershey Bears | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…7247backed Charlotte Checkers | 71c | 112.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Hershey Bears | 54c | 110.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Charlotte Checkers | 45c | 82.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Charlotte Checkers | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Hershey Bears | 46c | 46.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Charlotte Checkers | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…8b9abacked Hershey Bears | 43c | 32.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Hershey Bears | 46c | 27.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Hershey Bears | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Hershey Bears | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.