Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc61b36442d079eeb1cb67b5c29c02eab76fb3f6375902f589c5743a48c1ebcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Aliassime | 4c | 17,981$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.84 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aliassime | 10c | 17,604$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.42 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Aliassime | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Aliassime | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Aliassime | 10c | 9,008$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Aliassime | 10c | 6,303$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Aliassime | 11c | 2,800$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Aliassime | 7c | 2,725$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Aliassime | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aliassime | 9c | 1,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aliassime | 12c | 843.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aliassime | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Aliassime | 10c | 575$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Aliassime | 12c | 430.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Aliassime | 4c | 386.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Aliassime | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Aliassime | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aliassime | 11c | 173$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aliassime | 6c | 168.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Aliassime | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Aliassime | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Aliassime | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Aliassime | 12c | 98.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.