Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: 3V (-2.5) vs LYON Academy (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc641d8d3e766b54119f87e63459573818bfdc41e5257361cc7509dccd410c1ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3v Teamof 3v Team, LYON Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed 3v Team | 62c | 1,813$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.31 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LYON Academy | 69c | 445.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LYON Academy | 39c | 429.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked LYON Academy | 37c | 414$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed LYON Academy | 49c | 404.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LYON Academy | 60c | 338.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.56 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed LYON Academy | 58c | 293.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 3v Team | 38c | 244.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed LYON Academy | 35c | 175.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 3v Team | 40c | 175.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed LYON Academy | 22c | 144.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed 3v Team | 44c | 136.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…4bb8backed 3v Team | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed 3v Team | 69c | 111.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LYON Academy | 41c | 101.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed 3v Team | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed LYON Academy | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked 3v Team | 41c | 71.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked LYON Academy | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked LYON Academy | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LYON Academy | 63c | 45.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked 3v Team | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…8b63backed 3v Team | 67c | 41.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked 3v Team | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed LYON Academy | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed 3v Team | 38c | 38.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed LYON Academy | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3v Team | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 3v Team | 67c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: 3V (-2.5) vs LYON Academy (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: 3V (-1.5) vs LYON Academy (+1.5)3v Team won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy (BO5) - LRN Playoffs3v Team won
- LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 1 Winner3v Team won
- LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 2 Winner3v Team won
- LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner3v Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.