Asian League · resolved market
Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc643a107ed4579798d588436f9d65f63483148a649723337bff5aa82b687f496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 35c | 5,699$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,978$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.93 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 54c | 631.68$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.1 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 35c | 272.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 51c | 190.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed No | 54c | 180.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 158.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked No | 43c | 157.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 133.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 47c | 62.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 50c | 25.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed No | 56c | 18.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.