Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc66193212d24e6cc5f3dc3000eeb05741ab9de17879363db1fcb5cda4fa2f88f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 31c | 406.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 35c | 365.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 165.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 134.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 103.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 66c | 65.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 69c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 71c | 41.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 71c | 28.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 59c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 71c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Over | 71c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.