Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb55d60f46399c77effc109c6fbcfcbf98e98758b615d1febc07868ffa88bf65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 961.58$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.32 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 50c | 409.28$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 48c | 338$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 50c | 326$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 246.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 65c | 189.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 32c | 137.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 65c | 135.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 33c | 134.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 50c | 122.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 50c | 122.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 50c | 122.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 50c | 122.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed No | 52c | 86.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 50c | 55.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 52c | 34.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 65c | 27.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…6451backed No | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…11dfbacked Yes | 51c | 24.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…e858backed Yes | 51c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…3a43backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…d1e5backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…273ebacked No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b65…d656backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…04b5backed Yes | 51c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…4ce6backed Yes | 51c | 22.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…1dddbacked Yes | 51c | 22.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 52c | 21.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…ecb2backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…2ca2backed Yes | 51c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d3…0be0backed Yes | 51c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 64c | 20.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.