Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e31085e3e5d4f8e4581f94c1668f45fa0bdd1702dd62a850f8a12bb4f707a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 47c | 3,073$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,870$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 46c | 1,092$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.56 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 879.65$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 828.66$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.54 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 681.65$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.63 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 45c | 665.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.26 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 557.02$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 418.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 40c | 389.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 61c | 365.2$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 72c | 352.46$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 50c | 302.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 40c | 274.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 77c | 259.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 235.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 24c | 132.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 123.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 40c | 99.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 91.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 85.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 70.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 46c | 66.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 40c | 65.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 75c | 64.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Over | 53c | 55.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 37c | 41.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 41.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 39.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 35c | 32.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Under | 48c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Over | 45c | 25.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 56c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.