Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Benjamin Willwerth vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a35788de11d692800c1406834143db4c8551ffc36d3ca2aa8444ced3faa7b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Benjamin Willwerth, Luca Van Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,798 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Benjamin Willwerth | 1c | 27,851$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Benjamin Willwerth | 1c | 6,494$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Benjamin Willwerth | 5c | 5,016$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Benjamin Willwerth | 2c | 4,161$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 4c | 3,977$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Benjamin Willwerth | 6c | 3,640$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Benjamin Willwerth | 11c | 2,636$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Benjamin Willwerth | 6c | 1,343$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Benjamin Willwerth | 1c | 1,320$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Benjamin Willwerth | 10c | 1,049$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 10c | 1,023$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 6c | 888.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Benjamin Willwerth | 3c | 767.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 5c | 736.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…c250backed Benjamin Willwerth | 6c | 630.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Benjamin Willwerth | 9c | 605.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Benjamin Willwerth | 11c | 560.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Benjamin Willwerth | 4c | 521.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Benjamin Willwerth | 6c | 469.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Benjamin Willwerth | 8c | 462.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Benjamin Willwerth | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Benjamin Willwerth | 9c | 348$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 11c | 229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286a…ac60backed Benjamin Willwerth | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Benjamin Willwerth | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.