Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Donna Vekic vs Mirra Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b4218644003f726fb3691a197c8b14e706e19502a0244fc9cd93c445b1eba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Vekic, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Vekic | 14c | 2,145$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andreeva | 76c | 1,617$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vekic | 15c | 1,453$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vekic | 10c | 1,434$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vekic | 13c | 1,247$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vekic | 17c | 1,019$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vekic | 15c | 886.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Vekic | 47c | 751.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Vekic | 15c | 615.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Vekic | 19c | 526.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andreeva | 78c | 500$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…f667backed Vekic | 44c | 407$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Vekic | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ff…485cbacked Andreeva | 78c | 354.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Vekic | 17c | 323.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Andreeva | 79c | 306.78$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Vekic | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Vekic | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Vekic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Vekic | 7c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Andreeva | 76c | 194.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Vekic | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vekic | 12c | 188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Andreeva | 79c | 184.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vekic | 32c | 170.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vekic | 19c | 153$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Vekic | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Andreeva | 62c | 139.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…379cbacked Andreeva | 62c | 121.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Andreeva | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Andreeva | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Andreeva | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 268 | 33.6%90 W · 178 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5014…5e36backed Andreeva | 66c | 71.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Andreeva | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Vekic | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Vekic | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Andreeva | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…3f2dbacked Andreeva | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Donna Vekic vs Mirra Andreevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs AndreevaVekic won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)Vekic won
- Vekic vs. Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.