Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70397869dffbe4d30245dab24e68b02f7fa4485e63205a1efcfb13c7791300b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 6,579$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.27 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 2,764$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.64 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 2,015$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.86 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 956.89$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.82 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 940.09$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.63 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed No | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 250.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 241$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 66c | 157.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes | 36c | 154.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 76c | 148.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 111.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Yes | 34c | 78.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 71.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 50c | 69.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…5b41backed Yes | 29c | 51.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 41c | 36.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 32.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 65c | 32.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 68c | 28.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 68c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 65c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.