Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce885bcf324590fe6c5312351b0f5f6240f3ab3021ce59e85f8f6d20a679919c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 4,335$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.85 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,326$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,535$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 317.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 277.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Yes | 36c | 239.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 9c | 216.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 211.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 42c | 137.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 35c | 54.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 63c | 49.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 62c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 62c | 21.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.