Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TBK Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72b2489dcf7375190ab4f20609649bed23bcf5ad2091ba94ad5031f7f493e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2GAME Esportsof TBK Esports, 2GAME Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 2GAME Esports | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked TBK Esports | 40c | 250.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TBK Esports | 39c | 155.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 2GAME Esports | 60c | 52.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed TBK Esports | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed 2GAME Esports | 60c | 40.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed 2GAME Esports | 52c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed 2GAME Esports | 61c | 37.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked TBK Esports | 50c | 32.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed 2GAME Esports | 62c | 30.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed 2GAME Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked 2GAME Esports | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked 2GAME Esports | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed 2GAME Esports | 60c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked 2GAME Esports | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed 2GAME Esports | 62c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked 2GAME Esports | 62c | 16.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked 2GAME Esports | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.