Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Colorado State Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc730bca738ec65d2c5dbd1ee08438eb02f6e2625d189d39f149ea237fdc59e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Colorado State Rams | 17c | 7,296$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 68c | 2,237$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Colorado State Rams | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.92 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado State Rams | 25c | 1,421$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 840.48$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.25 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 700$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 43c | 574.91$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.7 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams | 54c | 572.93$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.22 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State Rams | 26c | 362.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colorado State Rams | 29c | 342.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 310$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 231.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 180.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 175.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Colorado State Rams | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 169$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 75c | 167$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 65c | 153.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 148.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Colorado State Rams | 53c | 123$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Colorado State Rams | 36c | 109.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 59c | 103.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Colorado State Rams | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Colorado State Rams | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 94.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Colorado State Rams | 30c | 84.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…3e86backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Colorado State Rams | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 68.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 42.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 56c | 42.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Colorado State Rams | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado State Rams | 35c | 34.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Colorado State Rams | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Colorado State Rams | 39c | 32.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Colorado State Rams | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.