Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc732c529062b98e8d41f5df06770a1be1f75b84a870476851879d867a06854c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 4,206$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 63c | 2,395$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 13c | 2,208$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 63c | 1,589$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 56c | 1,277$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 12c | 1,083$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.01 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 28c | 835.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 820.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.68 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 66c | 660.55$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.82 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 652$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.02 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 11c | 651.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 605.01$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 22c | 469.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 306.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 12c | 283.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 62c | 179.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 46c | 159.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 147$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 11c | 136$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 121.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 77c | 115.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 52c | 95.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 53c | 79.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 47c | 61.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…c87abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 47.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…15b1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 44.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…ed4dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 47c | 29.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…14abbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…83c6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…1cb4backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 61c | 16.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 146.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-13.5)Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-14.5)Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.