Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lamar Cardinals vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75fd9f8db43c69d0400674dac61da04e414d32bbee022f3079224f705786352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Lamar Cardinals, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Lamar Cardinals | 24c | 1,254$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lamar Cardinals | 26c | 1,043$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.55 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 78c | 818.64$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Lamar Cardinals | 20c | 456$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Lamar Cardinals | 13c | 377.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lamar Cardinals | 4c | 340$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lamar Cardinals | 4c | 257.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 220$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 78c | 197.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 78c | 108.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 71.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lamar Cardinals | 22c | 61.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lamar Cardinals | 21c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1ae8backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamar Cardinals vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksthis page
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-8.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.