NHL · resolved market
AHL: Texas Stars vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7874e2347c4aec28e2295db80085d0821e02ebb20e83827710bb54eadb8112b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Rapids Griffinsof Texas Stars, Grand Rapids Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 599.06$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked Texas Stars | 34c | 599$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…7f1cbacked Texas Stars | 34c | 551$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed Texas Stars | 34c | 547$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2a82backed Texas Stars | 34c | 539$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Texas Stars | 33c | 444$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563e…3392backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 315$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…07eabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 284$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…412ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 282$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…0784backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 276$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…56f1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 276$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…6f8fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 275$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…0b9abacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 271$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 257$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 188$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texas Stars | 33c | 60.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…56c5backed Texas Stars | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…9441backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…8d97backed Texas Stars | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Texas Stars | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Texas Stars | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 42.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Texas Stars | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Texas Stars | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Texas Stars | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed Texas Stars | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Texas Stars | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Texas Stars | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.