CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d6ceabde6a52dadf44ac4aa3c4925a64469b6a1a2fd0f183a08d5811675570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Voca | 19c | 3,350$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Voca | 21c | 1,701$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 21c | 988.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Voca | 17c | 863.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 80c | 772.83$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Voca | 13c | 755.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed M80 | 79c | 689.22$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Voca | 10c | 616.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Voca | 19c | 529.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Voca | 20c | 460$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…3d50backed M80 | 79c | 394.21$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked M80 | 80c | 393.8$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed M80 | 80c | 300.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Voca | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked M80 | 79c | 299.16$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed M80 | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Voca | 9c | 249$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed M80 | 79c | 223.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Voca | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Voca | 19c | 189.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Voca | 11c | 142.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Voca | 22c | 138.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Voca | 20c | 110.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed M80 | 80c | 109.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed Voca | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…b807backed M80 | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed M80 | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed M80 | 76c | 52.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed M80 | 75c | 51.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…6747backed Voca | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed M80 | 79c | 39.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked M80 | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed M80 | 79c | 21.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed M80 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked M80 | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed M80 | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed M80 | 79c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.