Tennis · resolved market
ITF Metzingen: Adrian Oetzbach vs Pieter De Lange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc83168bc921439cc75cdb20290ee55b87ad9757630a56e7b5480ee8302bab9d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrian Oetzbachof Adrian Oetzbach, Pieter De Lange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrian Oetzbach | 71c | 769.29$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 71c | 524.59$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pieter De Lange | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Pieter De Lange | 26c | 270$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…df01backed Adrian Oetzbach | 48c | 252.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pieter De Lange | 52c | 232.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pieter De Lange | 30c | 176.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pieter De Lange | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Pieter De Lange | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Pieter De Lange | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Adrian Oetzbach | 49c | 97.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Pieter De Lange | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Pieter De Lange | 53c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Adrian Oetzbach | 47c | 69.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pieter De Lange | 28c | 60.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Adrian Oetzbach | 75c | 56.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 61c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Pieter De Lange | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrian Oetzbach | 56c | 33.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pieter De Lange | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Adrian Oetzbach | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Adrian Oetzbach | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.