Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc85c6d1839106f818193c9c56667298e36b2cb7fc2ffae7348ec498f09765848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Eintracht Spandau | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Eintracht Spandau | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 12c | 2,063$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Solary | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eintracht Spandau | 2c | 785.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Eintracht Spandau | 8c | 779.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Eintracht Spandau | 11c | 549.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Solary | 78c | 532.51$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed Eintracht Spandau | 11c | 523$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Eintracht Spandau | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eintracht Spandau | 14c | 427$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547e…753cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 6c | 391$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Eintracht Spandau | 12c | 362$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Eintracht Spandau | 23c | 296.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Eintracht Spandau | 23c | 294.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Solary | 77c | 276.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Solary | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Solary | 80c | 221.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Solary | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Solary | 80c | 177.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed Eintracht Spandau | 17c | 172.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eintracht Spandau | 18c | 150.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eintracht Spandau | 21c | 111.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Solary | 79c | 109.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Eintracht Spandau | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Solary | 77c | 98.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 110 | 62.7%69 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Solary | 80c | 93.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Eintracht Spandau | 22c | 84.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Eintracht Spandau | 23c | 61.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Solary | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Solary | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Solary | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Solary | 80c | 15.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Solary | 76c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.