CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc87243fd6e1b2a79c092927290ea81167375f72ea82d34e1fa55d3063a162f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinggis Warriorsof Chinggis Warriors, TEAM XDM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TEAM XDM | 34c | 426.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed TEAM XDM | 49c | 366.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chinggis Warriors | 45c | 280.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TEAM XDM | 26c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Chinggis Warriors | 53c | 116$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked TEAM XDM | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed TEAM XDM | 36c | 55.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Chinggis Warriors | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked TEAM XDM | 31c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TEAM XDM | 35c | 42.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed TEAM XDM | 51c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked TEAM XDM | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked TEAM XDM | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chinggis Warriors | 36c | 38.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TEAM XDM | 29c | 34.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked TEAM XDM | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TEAM XDM - Map 1 WinnerChinggis Warriors won
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TEAM XDM - Map 2 WinnerChinggis Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.