CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs FaZe Up Next (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88aa81a64cfdcbcefcb6b9a473e491af2b02c192d2f6f5da778bf1617d208d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, FaZe Up Next
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 477$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed FaZe Up Next | 24c | 284.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FaZe Up Next | 24c | 284.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FaZe Up Next | 31c | 194.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FaZe Up Next | 22c | 176.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 157.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FaZe Up Next | 35c | 155.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 144.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-MANA eSports | 76c | 92.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2865…2005backed ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked FaZe Up Next | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed FaZe Up Next | 27c | 69.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 63.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FaZe Up Next | 23c | 48.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed FaZe Up Next | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 41.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked FaZe Up Next | 31c | 36.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 29.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8e…ebfdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.