Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc894c71219afc57c1e12c8e0965d825ae0f89965b33fd0d6bff40befb7cc18fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 70c | 4,513$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.22 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 62c | 3,516$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.56 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 30c | 2,041$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.16 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 36c | 1,741$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.68 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 39c | 1,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…3ba5backed Over | 30c | 882.16$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 37c | 875.86$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 37c | 625$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 39c | 520$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 39c | 484.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 36c | 394.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 30c | 320.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 30c | 183.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 171.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 30c | 104.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 30c | 97.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 72.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…a1cebacked Over | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 55.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Under | 73c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.