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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43ff…a491backed FURIA Esports10c4,266$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2718554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked FURIA Esports79c3,628$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.511,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M21c3,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3703,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2371…d59fbacked Fluxo W7M48c2,468$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.062748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M12c1,820$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.922,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked FURIA Esports3c1,647$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2815357.5%88 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fluxo W7M21c1,557$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.6196350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed Fluxo W7M78c1,475$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6817155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked FURIA Esports76c1,385$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.3267056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Fluxo W7M20c1,276$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.93775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports70c1,274$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8931,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fluxo W7M21c1,200$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Fluxo W7M24c1,070$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.092,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports77c1,065$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.071,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA Esports67c1,049$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.071,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports34c1,028$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.043,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Fluxo W7M31c1,010$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6556650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed FURIA Esports79c989.86$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.992,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed FURIA Esports80c981.83$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.4746153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked FURIA Esports7c935.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5132566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Fluxo W7M22c813.61$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.552,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FURIA Esports73c755.48$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.369539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA Esports78c705.34$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1759750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed FURIA Esports78c685.43$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.641,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA Esports45c652.76$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports56c627.83$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.772,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5db…0716backed FURIA Esports31c614.3$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6610343.7%45 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports28c600.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.152,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Fluxo W7M23c599.24$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.4124041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed FURIA Esports12c591.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.651,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked FURIA Esports2c579.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.132281.8%4 W · 224 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fluxo W7M25c555$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.251,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Fluxo W7M23c540.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.171,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fluxo W7M10c472.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5782044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Fluxo W7M40c445.85$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5123149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked FURIA Esports27c434.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.244647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Fluxo W7M21c433.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6922737%84 W · 143 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Fluxo W7M23c418.37$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0154246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed FURIA Esports80c390.26$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2119157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Fluxo W7M22c382.92$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6820631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports75c319.72$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7985942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2eb…8979backed Fluxo W7M61c317.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3318347.5%87 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Fluxo W7M23c306.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2912047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M23c295.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.351,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed Fluxo W7M24c292.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.419739.2%38 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fluxo W7M7c259.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.131,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Fluxo W7M38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0935633.7%120 W · 236 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA Esports36c253.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4839246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Fluxo W7M22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19577545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked FURIA Esports79c249.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4835164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed FURIA Esports28c239.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.986347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked Fluxo W7M73c216.75$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.998854.5%48 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M42c215.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.611,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked FURIA Esports28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613660.3%82 W · 54 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports55c189.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.22,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M51c189.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8828042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked FURIA Esports76c162.21$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4614835.1%52 W · 96 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports30c156.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.381,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Fluxo W7M24c149.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0410760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce78…86fabacked Fluxo W7M21c142.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.857136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA Esports42c135.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.872,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed FURIA Esports26c134.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.766443.8%28 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Fluxo W7M24c129.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.541,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Fluxo W7M39c122.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4117057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo W7M72c115$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8397…231fbacked FURIA Esports13c109.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.964932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Fluxo W7M51c104.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0635546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Fluxo W7M17c99.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.991,00948.2%486 W · 523 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed FURIA Esports76c98.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.781942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Fluxo W7M18c97.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9848652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Fluxo W7M20c95.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1615944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Fluxo W7M79c90.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1927254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked FURIA Esports40c88.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9433042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Fluxo W7M21c88.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7342847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Fluxo W7M21c88.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0360124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports21c86.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Fluxo W7M40c85.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4963043.8%276 W · 354 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed FURIA Esports29c84.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2433737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Fluxo W7M18c83.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked FURIA Esports52c81.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7441651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfb…54b2backed Fluxo W7M25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FURIA Esports62c78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5770744.1%312 W · 395 L-22.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Fluxo W7M25c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2531650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FURIA Esports79c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA Esports79c70$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.951,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed FURIA Esports80c69.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2241156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed FURIA Esports28c65.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3750345.7%230 W · 273 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fluxo W7M23c62.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8499338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked FURIA Esports49c61.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0416240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed Fluxo W7M20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4826236.6%96 W · 166 L+24.6wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed FURIA Esports75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517349.7%86 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked FURIA Esports27c56.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.356317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports77c49.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.352,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Fluxo W7M22c47.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1728827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Fluxo W7M23c45.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1246641.4%193 W · 273 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…8107backed Fluxo W7M69c42.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed FURIA Esports78c41.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports31c40.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.