Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a43013997933f967c52e611f16a06808af1c1e3f937e07a90ce383b920f7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Anadolu Efes, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 44c | 1,317$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.69 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Anadolu Efes | 52c | 623.33$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Panathinaikos | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Panathinaikos | 50c | 406$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Anadolu Efes | 56c | 382.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anadolu Efes | 48c | 344$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 277.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Panathinaikos | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…ef37backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 183.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…f978backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 182.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915b…6d0abacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 181.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…5d04backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 181.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…99abbacked Panathinaikos | 45c | 180.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…5afbbacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 179.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Anadolu Efes | 45c | 177$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Panathinaikos | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 133.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…ca9fbacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 128.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ec31backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 120.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…3bb8backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 113.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 83.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Anadolu Efes | 54c | 75.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Anadolu Efes | 50c | 75.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Panathinaikos | 45c | 52.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Panathinaikos | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Panathinaikos | 48c | 24.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.