Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Nikola Djosic vs Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a951693a02904027d9276fc05498f7b85d18bf4130c9ff38f9e8c360a3cab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensenof Nikola Djosic, Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikola Djosic | 52c | 4,685$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 48c | 1,889$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.41 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 55c | 818.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.54 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 41c | 565.8$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nikola Djosic | 56c | 438.51$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 50c | 373.4$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 55c | 301.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 51c | 239.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 52c | 227.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 52c | 152.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 21c | 147.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 22c | 87.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Nikola Djosic | 57c | 86.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 55c | 71.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 52c | 65.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 55c | 45.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Nikola Djosic | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Nikola Djosic | 55c | 36.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Nikola Djosic | 37c | 33.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nikola Djosic | 38c | 31.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nikola Djosic | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen | 54c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Nikola Djosic | 36c | 29.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Nikola Djosic | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.