MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8abb84c2f3c210b935487cb38e3d84aabc58a63feafb814f0ce12683680bb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8377…4198backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 18,542$8,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,060.24 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 8,689$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 8,355$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,774$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.33 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,611$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,521$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.03 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,310$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.75 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,294$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…cdd1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,161$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 977.02$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 408$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 292.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 218.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 179.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 169.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 152.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…a2bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 102.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…80e6backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…41ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…e479backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…33a2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…53cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 46.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 35.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 20.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.