Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Ena Shibahara vs Anastasia Zakharova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d8653ff0df53302ae9bbb19cd7b3d82107de0f185568346f0bb431e4f35deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zakharovaof Shibahara, Zakharova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Shibahara | 39c | 1,083$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.18 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shibahara | 42c | 1,014$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zakharova | 62c | 698$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.07 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Zakharova | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zakharova | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Zakharova | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zakharova | 55c | 351.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Shibahara | 5c | 299.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Shibahara | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shibahara | 34c | 262.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Shibahara | 25c | 240.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Zakharova | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…f84cbacked Zakharova | 70c | 176$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shibahara | 34c | 165.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8f…8f6abacked Shibahara | 40c | 136.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Zakharova | 66c | 130.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Zakharova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zakharova | 62c | 120.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Zakharova | 60c | 115.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Shibahara | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Shibahara | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Zakharova | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Zakharova | 67c | 54.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zakharova | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Shibahara | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zakharova | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zakharova | 64c | 41.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Zakharova | 65c | 35.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…d0b8backed Shibahara | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Zakharova | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…40c8backed Zakharova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…2ea7backed Zakharova | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Zakharova | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…8355backed Zakharova | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.