Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Kent vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e58f43d5a25cef6d0dddc57853baaf9ddffe5959e3615a3ad21cb2c448daca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Kent, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kent | 28c | 1,175$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.83 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Surrey | 65c | 910.03$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.51 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Kent | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Surrey | 69c | 731.82$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Kent | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kent | 26c | 214.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Surrey | 64c | 152.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kent | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 41c | 79.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Surrey | 76c | 74.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kent | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kent | 38c | 63.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kent | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Surrey | 69c | 53.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kent | 30c | 51.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kent | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Surrey | 63c | 38.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Surrey | 61c | 35.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Surrey | 64c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Kent vs Surreythis page
- T20 Blast: Kent vs Surrey - Who wins the toss?Surrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.