Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Eswatini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc926b392df6234825f43dbeef5375e5231d94de4bfae1848775e5160316be0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malawiof Malawi, Eswatini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98fd…dcbdbacked Malawi | 70c | 7,152$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Eswatini | 32c | 3,408$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.04 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Eswatini | 31c | 1,092$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Eswatini | 30c | 987.72$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Malawi | 68c | 729$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Eswatini | 32c | 693.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Malawi | 68c | 595.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Eswatini | 30c | 589.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Malawi | 70c | 565.33$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eswatini | 16c | 517.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Eswatini | 31c | 500.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Eswatini | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Eswatini | 30c | 326.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Eswatini | 32c | 279.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Eswatini | 33c | 232.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Eswatini | 33c | 204$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Malawi | 69c | 202$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Eswatini | 31c | 142$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Malawi | 69c | 139.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Eswatini | 25c | 136.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eswatini | 30c | 95.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Eswatini | 32c | 78.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eswatini | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Eswatini | 17c | 72.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Malawi | 66c | 69.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Malawi | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Malawi | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Malawi | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Malawi | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.