Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Gustavo Heide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc94976051aa4ad40cf2c012ecf71bfded5e033ab3e571a9a35160eb4f9fe68ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Prizmic, Heide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heide | 20c | 14,988$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heide | 15c | 5,335$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.98 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Heide | 10c | 4,083$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.17 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Prizmic | 66c | 3,805$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.82 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Prizmic | 68c | 2,651$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.07 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Heide | 41c | 2,165$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.95 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Prizmic | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.3 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Prizmic | 59c | 1,333$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.65 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Prizmic | 64c | 1,280$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.54 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Prizmic | 65c | 1,265$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.45 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Prizmic | 76c | 1,123$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Heide | 32c | 967.48$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.26 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Heide | 39c | 895.78$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.01 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heide | 33c | 866.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Prizmic | 60c | 838.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Heide | 33c | 744.77$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Heide | 17c | 734.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Prizmic | 58c | 665$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Heide | 21c | 632.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Heide | 9c | 564.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Heide | 35c | 556$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Heide | 12c | 550$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heide | 17c | 479.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Heide | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Heide | 13c | 395.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Heide | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Heide | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Heide | 36c | 298.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Heide | 39c | 248.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…bb7abacked Prizmic | 67c | 231.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Prizmic | 63c | 215.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Heide | 34c | 189.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Heide | 27c | 183.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Heide | 35c | 182.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Prizmic | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Heide | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Prizmic | 69c | 127.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Heide | 12c | 120.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Prizmic | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Heide | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Heide | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heide | 38c | 77.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Heide | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heide | 47c | 65.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Heide | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heide | 26c | 57.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Heide | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Prizmic | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heide | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Prizmic | 69c | 50.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Prizmic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Prizmic | 71c | 49.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Heide | 43c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Prizmic | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Prizmic | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Heide | 30c | 34.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heide | 44c | 34.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Prizmic | 73c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Prizmic | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Prizmic | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Prizmic | 62c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Prizmic | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Prizmic | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Prizmic | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Prizmic | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.