Tennis · resolved market
ITF Southaven: Mayu Crossley vs Annika Penickova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9542deec4c80064aa137a6509fd40f08392acf6b1148ce04e013d48c0504b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Annika Penickovaof Mayu Crossley, Annika Penickova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Annika Penickova | 32c | 2,099$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.33 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Mayu Crossley | 4c | 1,412$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Annika Penickova | 75c | 1,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mayu Crossley | 10c | 772.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mayu Crossley | 62c | 648.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mayu Crossley | 27c | 544.08$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Annika Penickova | 59c | 231.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mayu Crossley | 31c | 115.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Annika Penickova | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…707fbacked Annika Penickova | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mayu Crossley | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Mayu Crossley | 59c | 84.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed Mayu Crossley | 15c | 68.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Annika Penickova | 59c | 39.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Annika Penickova | 55c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Annika Penickova | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Annika Penickova | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.