TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Poprad: Massimo Pizzigoni vs Dominik Macej

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Massimo Pizzigoniof Massimo Pizzigoni, Dominik Macej
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f1c…6383backed Dominik Macej43c700$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Massimo Pizzigoni74c475.56$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.928,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Massimo Pizzigoni76c393.02$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.716,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12e…bb43backed Dominik Macej21c385.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Massimo Pizzigoni64c348.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Dominik Macej6c289.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.463745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Massimo Pizzigoni58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882659.3%490 W · 336 L+3.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dominik Macej42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Massimo Pizzigoni62c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3853946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.