Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Michael Mmoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98708cec47311961519f0d6fcd0e9e3ecc1911fce9c8dd89a73559809493c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mmohof Garin, Mmoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mmoh | 21c | 6,658$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Garin | 78c | 2,212$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.32 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mmoh | 23c | 1,435$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.51 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garin | 51c | 1,248$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Mmoh | 35c | 999.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.7 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Mmoh | 12c | 795.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.96 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mmoh | 33c | 742.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.84 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Garin | 65c | 619.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Mmoh | 33c | 592.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.05 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Mmoh | 49c | 472.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Mmoh | 32c | 316.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mmoh | 44c | 284$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Garin | 65c | 277.77$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Mmoh | 16c | 266.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Garin | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Garin | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…1200backed Garin | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Garin | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mmoh | 11c | 119.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Mmoh | 76c | 117.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Garin | 61c | 113.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Garin | 61c | 112.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mmoh | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Garin | 67c | 60.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mmoh | 32c | 40.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mmoh | 48c | 38.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Mmoh | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Garin | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…682cbacked Mmoh | 49c | 28.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Mmoh | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Garin | 55c | 26.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…63cbbacked Garin | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…0cc4backed Mmoh | 64c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Garin | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.