CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a3979579f4ffa9e1dd7c08dd708ad0865c5e2a2b02c14fb58e08c2e01c0aea

Rebuilt 33 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: FaZeof FaZe, Sinners
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,790 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked FaZe	36c	5,459$1,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,493.98	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Sinners	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	720	46.1%332 W · 388 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Sinners	64c	4,483$2,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,854.28	1,523	51.5%785 W · 738 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sinners	64c	2,183$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397.33	679	51.4%349 W · 330 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked FaZe	36c	2,100$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed FaZe	36c	1,597$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.09	100	43%43 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed FaZe	37c	1,510$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.04	220	45.5%100 W · 120 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed FaZe	51c	1,216$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.58	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Sinners	61c	1,051$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.41	273	53.1%145 W · 128 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Sinners	59c	947.12$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.8	1,041	53.1%553 W · 488 L	+63.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed FaZe	66c	937.08$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.61	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sinners	61c	933.23$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.24	647	48.4%313 W · 334 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Sinners	34c	773.34$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.06	2,223	47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L	-5.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0217…1579backed FaZe	65c	769.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.23	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Sinners	41c	585.08$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.88	124	43.5%54 W · 70 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Sinners	30c	536.29$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.44	360	54.4%196 W · 164 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed FaZe	36c	530$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-13%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed FaZe	39c	519$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.59	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners	62c	500$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	2,456	44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L	-67.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Sinners	62c	404.74$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.94	403	49.1%198 W · 205 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed FaZe	39c	400$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed FaZe	38c	394.74$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.74	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2c…f0d6backed FaZe	63c	387.88$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.88	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed FaZe	39c	332.49$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.82	336	47.9%161 W · 175 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sinners	63c	300$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	1,007	48.5%488 W · 519 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners	48c	284.85$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.85	4,238	49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L	+60.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9e…66cbbacked FaZe	36c	278$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.92	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…f7bcbacked FaZe	36c	278$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.92	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.31per pick	57cpaid	+58%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed FaZe	37c	270.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	165	38.8%64 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Sinners	28c	241.07$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	1,659	32.7%542 W · 1,117 L	-49.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sinners	58c	235.57$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.21	2,672	47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed FaZe	37c	224.32$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.32	174	38.5%67 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Sinners	47c	212.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed FaZe	37c	200$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	302	47%142 W · 160 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sinners	65c	200$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Sinners	59c	186.44$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	127	48%61 W · 66 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed FaZe	39c	173.49$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.83	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Sinners	62c	160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	126	60.3%76 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Sinners	59c	149.15$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FaZe	40c	136.09$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.53	3,236	51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L	+88.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6b…a307backed FaZe	48c	125$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked FaZe	39c	105$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.05	380	51.3%195 W · 185 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed FaZe	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	203	49.3%100 W · 103 L	-12.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Sinners	61c	85$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed FaZe	38c	79.06$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.06	219	42.5%93 W · 126 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e74…6bdfbacked FaZe	63c	79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed FaZe	39c	74.36$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.36	443	44%195 W · 248 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Sinners	47c	71.17$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	617	54%333 W · 284 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Sinners	64c	70$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked FaZe	39c	69.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.23	101	54.5%55 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed FaZe	39c	69.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.23	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Sinners	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Sinners	63c	63.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…21c5backed FaZe	37c	57.59$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.28	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked FaZe	37c	53.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	454	50.2%228 W · 226 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FaZe	37c	51.12$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.38	2,365	45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L	-58.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed FaZe	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	247	46.2%114 W · 133 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8eb…9d25backed FaZe	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed FaZe	72c	39.82$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	167	66.5%111 W · 56 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked FaZe	35c	39.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	135	41.5%56 W · 79 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked FaZe	39c	38.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked FaZe	39c	38.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	807	41.3%333 W · 474 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Sinners	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	687	49.6%341 W · 346 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Sinners	62c	28.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	256	50.4%129 W · 127 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1731…f488backed FaZe	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Sinners	65c	23.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	94	53.2%50 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageFaZe won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FaZe won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)FaZe won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event